Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.341835 0.447754 0.563426 0.697273 0.846213 1.005406 1.187044
2025-08-31 0.179194 0.310601 0.472450 0.676792 0.920062 1.194107 1.520502
2025-09-07 0.111122 0.248451 0.434897 0.684840 0.994976 1.354827 1.793217
2025-09-14 0.062034 0.193544 0.393377 0.677788 1.044287 1.480480 2.021852
2025-09-21 0.029073 0.146322 0.350558 0.659684 1.072475 1.575032 2.208831
2025-09-28 0.017484 0.132432 0.353051 0.699809 1.172376 1.754912 2.495882
2025-10-05 0.010796 0.125009 0.363552 0.749690 1.283982 1.948597 2.799157
2025-10-12 0.005291 0.114451 0.366337 0.787013 1.378166 2.120171 3.075498
2025-10-19 0.003087 0.113318 0.384943 0.847169 1.502569 2.329458 3.397694
2025-10-26 0.001104 0.107508 0.393609 0.891769 1.605718 2.511935 3.687292
2025-11-02 NaN 0.091649 0.380060 0.900960 1.659848 2.631914 3.900120
2025-11-09 NaN 0.062363 0.331461 0.851371 1.630559 2.643930 3.978876
2025-11-16 NaN 0.036268 0.279606 0.793343 1.589757 2.643739 4.047281
2025-11-23 NaN 0.022926 0.252251 0.772905 1.600598 2.709707 4.197878
2025-11-30 NaN 0.016587 0.242253 0.781123 1.651808 2.827701 4.412894
2025-12-07 NaN 0.009874 0.224727 0.773676 1.678894 2.913193 4.586573
2025-12-14 NaN 0.004257 0.202291 0.754227 1.686504 2.971739 4.725362
2025-12-21 NaN 0.004000 0.211839 0.797251 1.788817 3.157488 5.026297
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004387 0.226502 0.850617 1.907069 3.364891 5.355102
2026-01-04 NaN 0.003949 0.234418 0.890478 2.004759 3.544706 5.648867
2026-01-11 NaN 0.004962 0.254351 0.954606 2.139725 3.774963 6.007275
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004956 0.265964 1.002066 2.249279 3.971079 6.322256
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002954 0.259002 1.011837 2.301008 4.089159 6.537583